History demonstrates that it pays to follow full-backs and New Zealand wingers when financing in the upper tryscorer market. The All Blacks have provided the top tryscorer on five events (Craig Green/John Kirwan 1987, Jonah Lomu 1995 & 1999, Doug Howlett/Mils Muliaina 2003 and Julian Savea at 2015).
It’s a mark of the depth and talent from the New Zealand back three that a player with less than a handful of test starts heads the marketplace, that man is Sevu Reece. The 22-year-old burst on the scene in his debut season, scoring 15 tries (a league high) since the Crusaders secured yet another Super Rugby title.
After his stellar season Reece scored his first All Blacks attempt at Australia’s demolition and then forced his way to the team of Steve Hansen. With question marks surrounding usual starter Rieko Ioane, where fittings from Namibia, Italy and Canada provide considerable chance to rack up the attempts, Reece seems set to get a great deal of game time at the group stages.
Reece from the squad’s addition feels like the Joe Rokocoko who scored 6 tries in 5 appearances and burst on the scene in 2003. So while it isn’t generally my strategy to go for a favorite in this current market, Reece seems too obvious to overlook.
My second choice in the top tryscorer marketplace is Australia’s Marika Koroibete, another winger. Codes were switched by the former rugby league star and may be set for a breakout tournament. While his tally of 5 tries in 18 looks may not leap off the page, but that may have been a product of the team around him.
Australia seem to have discovered a balance that is much better now in their own backline with James O’Connor in the centres providing guile together with the battering ram Samu Kerevi’s yield. Using Kurtley Beale place to meet the boots of Israel Folau Koroibete ought to be given lots of opportunities to improve his tally.
Add to his games against Georgia Fiji and Uruguay in the groups needs to be open, grand affairs along with attempts a loads — at 66/1 he is well worth chancing.
After strong performances in the warm-up games and a single man who is important to their hopes will be Manu Tuilagi england head to Japan filled with confidence.
The wrecking ball centre is putting a run of games using featured in each England fixture. He caused havoc against Ireland at Twickenham a couple of weeks.
Crucially that functionality came with Tuilagi lining up at outside center (he played at inside centre during the Six Nations) — playing in that excess space actually simplifies the 28-year-olds abilities where he can attack the external channels and doesn’t constantly face two or three man tackles.
With fitness doubts encompassing Henry Slade and Jonathan Joseph, Tuilagi is guaranteed to play at 13 along with Owen Farrell and George Ford — together with all the talent around him that the Leicester guy can definitely excel at the World Cup and looks a great each-way bet to lead the attempt scoring charts for his country.
South African fly-half Handre Pollard enjoyed a sensational World Cup debut in 2015 scoring 93 points (ending second to Nicolas Sanchez in scoring charts) as the Boks maintained third place. Even the 25-year-old is really a goal kicker but in addition provides a danger in basketball hand, scoring 6 tries in 41 games.
The Boks face a group stage that is simple if you fancy as I do them to move into the tournament and where points should flow particularly against Namibia Pollard is going to be the guy kicking the conversions and penalties.
Out of the market fundamentals he seems the most solid and given his test record, his cost of 5/1 won’t last long.
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