NFL Week 7 Early ATS Picks and Predictions

The Chiefs come Around Mile High on Thursday to take on the Denver Broncos.

Kansas City, having a record of 4-2 and an ATS record of 3-3, come into this one after two losses. The Broncos on the flip side, are driving high and coming off two straight wins. The Broncos are also 3-3 ATS so far this year, and sit 2-4. Denver linebacker Bradley Chubb’s loss may have galvanized this team. Head trainer Vic Fangio eventually has a grip on this Denver defense which is now rated the #7 shield in the league according to my defensive power ratings (through SparkSports.ca).
As for the Chiefs, their shield has seen. Kansas City’s defense has allowed an average of 406.2 yards per game and 24 points against per game. I have them ranked as the defense in the league. The Chiefs struggles are not their problem also, the Chiefs’ offense has struggled to be anything greater than vanilla in their previous couple games. Kansas City’s defensive line has not been able to safeguard Patrick Mahomes correctly, and due to this – we are currently seeing a great deal of rear and off balance throws foot attempts. The Chiefs offense may have eventually come back down to earth after an entire period of being viewed as the soccer equivalent. It appears today, they are the Houston Rockets.
The overall consensus possess the Chiefs as about 3pts better compared to the Broncos in the road. According to my statistics, my ability evaluations have the Broncos as 9pts greater compared to the Chiefs. I believe Denver will win this game. This line opened as Denver +4.5 and cash has come in on the Broncos and has since moved it to Broncos +3. I wish I managed to get on this +4.5 or +4 or even +3.5, but I missed the boat. I jumped on +3 while I had the chance, thinking that cash would last to come in on Denver. That hasn’t been the situation. As a reader, even if you’re able to hold off on the Broncos +3 and track online motion. I’d jump on Denver +3.5 the moment you see purchase back come in on the Chiefs. Either way, I really like the Broncos here.
Current Line: Denver +3 (-107 through Pinnacle)
Eyeing: Denver +3.5 (-110)
Purchase: Denver +3 (-110 via Bet365)
1pm EST, Sunday October 20th
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
The Houston Texans see the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday . The Texans come into the same ATS record of 4-2, and this individual with a 4-2 record. The Colts have been 3-2 with an ATS record of 3-1-1. Deshaun Watson has played in his first six games of the season. Watson includes a completion percentage of 69.7%, throwing for 1644 yards, with 12 touchdowns and 3 interceptions.
The Colts’ Jacoby Brissett has also played well, as the Colts are still move by the shock retirement of Andrew Luck. Jacoby Brissett includes a completion percentage of 64.7%, he has thrown for 1062 yards with 10 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. The Colts’ offensive line has become the highlight of the season – the defense’s performance will be what makes or breaks them within this match.
Houston QB Deshaun Watson has taken the maximum number of sacks in the NFL because coming to the match, when he is sacked – when he stays on his feet – that the Texans win. It is that easy. Shield Deshaun Watson, and the Texans offensive line needs to hold the Colts defense . If they can do this, I expect that the Texans to win this game. My defensive power evaluations have the Texans as the 15 defense in the league, averaging 22.4 points per match against. Directly under the Texans is the Colts, who I have as the #16 defense in the league; allowing 23.1 points per game against.
The general consensus, by the power ratings have the Texans as approximately 1pt better compared to the Colts. However, according to my numbers – the Colts must be around 2pts superior than the Texans at home. This line started at Colts -2.5 and proceeded as far as Texans -1, and it has now swung back into Colts -1. This is only one of the plays I am going to have go against my own numbers, and to side with all the talking heads. I really like the Texans here. The make or break deciding element for me is going to be that, Houston has the league best red zone scoring percentage by 71.43%. The Texans lead the team in third down conversion percentage. In terms of the Colts, they rank 30th in red zone percent and are ranked 27th in opponent third down conversion percentage. I believe the Texans are going to be able to score if it matters more, when it boils down to it. Give me the most Texans.
Present Line: Texans +1 (-104 via Pinnacle)
Bet: Texans pk (-110 via Bet365)
1PM EST, Sunday October 20th
Ford Field
The 4-2 Minnesota Vikings will travel to take on the 2-2-1 Lions on Sunday afternoon. The Vikings encounter this person as the only team in the NFL to perform six matches without a change. Whichever group has scored , has won the match, in each game they’ve played with this year. The trick to this game for the Vikings would be evident – to come out blazing and start this sport quickly. Based on my numbers, Minnesota has the #6 shield in the group. The Vikings have only allowed 15.5pts per game against and just 310 yards per game against. In terms of Detroit, I’ve got them ranked as the #18 defensive team in the NFL.
The Lions have allowed 23.6 pts per match against, also 413 yards per match against. The popular consensus power ratings place out this week hold the Vikings as about 2.5pts greater compared to Detroit on the street. My private power ratings gets the gap between these two teams as even wider. Detroit on the road has not Minnesota as approximately 5pts than me. This line opened as a choice em and has since transferred into Detroit becoming +1.5 underdogs. With the Vikings just giving -1.5pts, ” I think there is a ton of value on Minnesota here. It’ll be on my card Sunday come.
Current Line: Minnesota -1 (-116 through Pinnacle)
Bet: Minnesota -1 (-110 through Bet365)