Next House of Commons Speaker odds: Labour MPs head the market

John Bercow declared his intention to resign as Speaker of the House of Commons and the race has started to replace him at the position. His decision is important as it prevents a parliament, post election, even from electing a new speaker and Johnson’s minority Government will be not able to set up the candidate of their own choice.
Consequently, two Labour MPs are front runners for the task, together with Sir Lindsay Hoyle, Labour MP for Chorley, the current odds on favorite at around the 5/6 indicate, the bookies offer him a 55% chance of becoming the next Speaker, and Harriet Harman, Labour MP for Camberwell & Peckham, next favourite. Harriet Harman was as long as 5/1 with some bookmakers at the immediate wake of Bercow’s announcement but has shortened.
Traditionally the speaker has slid between the two parties, but that conference was upended precedent counts for little and also by the Labour government in 2000 in these times in Parliament. However, it will seem most likely that a civil candidate will follows the Conservative Bercow, not least because the Tory government is operating in a big minority.
The case for Hoyle is evident, he is. He had been in the Speaker’s Chair during the terrorist attack in Westminster and his experience is a sign in his own favour. Hoyle has been open about the fact once Bercow stands aside that he needs the function of Speaker, so at least he’ll be a name from the hat.
Whilst less open about her urge to sit at the Speaker’s Chair, Harman has succeeded in the past about it. She has a wealth of Parliamentary experience, having served since 1982 and held various Cabinet and Shadow Cabinet functions as MP. She has also taken functions as Leader of the Opposition and Acting Leader of the Labour Party. She has maintained her powder quite dry throughout the Brexit turmoil and will probably be satisfactory to both remainers and milder brexiters. Even though she’s as brief as Presently Harman’s longest chances are 11/4.
The shortest priced Tory candidate will be Dame Eleanor Laing, together with companies offering as long as 10/1 (an estimated 9% chance) and short as 5/1 on her getting the next Speaker. She’s currently another Deputy to the Speaker, although less mature than Hoyle although she hasn’t held the same high office since Harriet Harman. She has a black mark over her after she was embroiled at the expenditures scandal of the MP. Other longshots include Chris Bryant (10/1), who is publicly declared interest, Jacob Rees-Mogg (25/1), Hilary Benn (33/1) along with Angela Eagle (50/1). At this point in time it looks hard to see past the two front runners, however do not hesitate to observe that the bolter before the race has been settled.
Suggestion: 11/4 for Harriet Harman to become the Speaker of the House of Commons looks the best value.

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