NASCAR at Richmond odds, picks 2019: Model says Kyle Larson surprises at Toyota Owners 400

For the first time this season, NASCAR will probably be under the lights if the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday in Richmond Raceway. Kyle Busch enters 2019 NASCAR at Richmond as the pioneer at the NASCAR Dragon Energy Cup standings with 361 points. He’s looking for his fourth win of the year and the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 chances provide him a 9-4 chance to get it starts in fifth position after qualifying. Kevin Harvick had the fastest speed in qualifying at 124.29 MPH, giving him the pole position. His NASCAR at Richmond chances have moved from 7-1 to 9-2. Martin Truex Jr. (6-1), Joey Logano (8-1) and Brad Keselowski (10-1) are among the other leading contenders in this .75-mile short track. Before locking in any 2019 Toyota Owners 400 selections of your own, first make certain to check out the NASCAR predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive information scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors like track record and current results into account.

The model is off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin that a top-four competition from the beginning. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers in the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its projected top five. Additionally, it nailed Busch’s enormous win at Bristol last week. Anybody who has followed its picks is far up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic venues like Richmond Raceway have been in his bloodstream. Now, his version mimicked the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For NASCAR at Richmond 2019, we could tell you the model is high on Kyle Larson, who makes a strong run at taking the checkered flag despite going off at 25-1 NASCAR in Richmond chances.

Larson’s average finish at Richmond is 9.7, that’s that the third-best among active drivers. He’s finished seventh or better in four of the last five events at Richmond and won the Richmond autumn race at 2017. He’ll start in 14th place after a marginally slower than expected qualifying period of 123.54 MPH. But he posted the fastest lap (121.70 MPH) at the first practice session on Friday, so he has revealed the speed required to climb the NASCAR at Richmond leaderboard on Saturday evening.

Along with a massive shocker: Truex Jr., among the top Vegas favorites in 6-1, does not crack the top five. There are far better worth in a wealthy 2019 NASCAR in Richmond lineup.

The 39-year-old veteran is sitting at seventh in the standings, but he’s tapered off lately. Truex finished 12th at Texas Motor Speedway after which fought last week in Bristol, finishing 17th. In his career, Truex has not fared well at Richmond Raceway either. In reality, he’s finished in the top five only 3 times in 26 career starts at the monitor.

The model can also be targeting two additional motorists using 2019 Toyota Owners 400 odds of 20-1 or longer to make a serious run at winning everything. Anyone who backs these lengthy shots can hit it big.

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