NASCAR AT ATLANTA ODDS, PICKS 2019: MODEL SAYS CHASE ELLIOTT SURPRISES AT FOLDS OF HONOR QUIKTRIP 500

The 2019 NASCAR schedule kicks into high gear Sunday with All the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway.

The green flag falls at 2 p.m. ET for your 325-lap race and defending champion Kevin Harvick is the 4-1 favorite from the most current 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 chances. Falling in just supporting him with 6-1 NASCAR at Atlanta odds are Joey Logano and Kyle Busch, who finished in the top four last week in the Daytona 500. Prior to making your own 2019 QuikTrip 500 selections and NASCAR at Atlanta predictions, make sure you have a look at the projected leaderboard in the proven computer version at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive data scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors such as track history and recent results into account.

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It made some enormous calls in NASCAR last year, including nailing wins for Kyle Busch in Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. And it is off to a solid start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a leading competition from the beginning. Anybody who has followed its picks is way, way up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic places like Atlanta Motor Speedway are in his bloodstream. Now his model mimicked the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 a total of 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For your 2019 QuikTrip 500 in Atlanta, we could tell you the version is high on Chase Elliott, making a strong run at the checkered flag despite going off at 10-1 odds. Elliott doesn’t have a lengthy history at Atlanta, but he’s had success there in all three of his starts in the track since joining the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series. He has finished within the top 10 in every one of these races and even earned a top-five finish in 2017.

Before joining NASCAR’s top circuit, Elliott had two top-five finishes at Atlanta in the NASCAR Xfinity Series. Elliott is a Georgia native and his father, Bill Elliott, won at NASCAR’s highest level at Atlanta Motor Speedway five times in his career, so it’s something of a house track for the 23-year-old. The version expects him to ride that advantage towards the top of the leaderboard on Sunday.

Another shocker in the model: Kyle Busch, one of the top Vegas favorites in 6-1, doesn’t even crack the top five.

The 2019 Daytona 500 runner-up started on the pole in this race a year ago, but wound up finishing in seventh position. The year before, he had another quick ride in qualifying and began the race , but wound up in 16th.

Considering his win at Atlanta in 2013, Busch has only run 56.7 percent of his laps inside the top 15. For his career, he’s finished outside the top 10 in 13 of his 20 career starts at Atlanta Motor Speedway. There are far better values within this loaded 2019 QuikTrip 500 lineup than the 6-1 premium you will want to cover him.

The model is also targeting three other motorists using 2019 NASCAR in Atlanta chances of 10-1 or longer to make a serious run at winning everything. Anyone who backs these lengthy shots could hit it big.