If you have been gambling hockey this year, you discovered that OVERs were cashing at a ridiculous rate in the early going. That trend has levelled off since most teams appear to have found their bearings. The Philadelphia Flyers, however, haven’t.
They’ve cashed 11 OVERs within their 16 matches and have two UNDERs. Their games have had by far the highest average of complete goals as they have scored the second-most from the league and are tied together with the Calgary Flames for permitting the most.
If you’d tossed $100 on every Flyers’ OVER this season, it would’ve profited you exactly seven $100 bills but watch out for high total matchups as I’ve even cashed a few complete props of OVER 6.5 as well as an OVER 7.5 when they played with the Leafs past Friday.
I don’t expect this trend changing much. Their goaltending and defense are dreadful, and they simply lost Michal Neuvirth for an extended period and have been made to call up Anthony Stolarz out of Lehigh Valley in the AHL. Additionally, they play in the highest-scoring branch in hockey and the Flyers can flat out score.
A surprising trend over the OVER trend is that the O/U is 10-2 when Philly’s matches have closed with a total of 5.5 and can be 1-1-2 when they’ve closed . What this signifies is that if the Flyers are becoming Patches of 5.5, Vegas is pretty damn sure their games will get goals.
I suggest riding this OVER if the total is 5.5 or the Flyers are up against any group in the bottom half of targets given up per game.
With that advice, you will want to consider that OVER when they move up against the Winnipeg Jets on Thursday. The Jets have given up the fifth-most goals in the league and with both teams’ offenses clicking, we could see a replica of the match in 2011 that led to a 9-8 Jets’ win.
Maybe keep on the lookout for your ol’ OVER 16.5. I’m naturally kidding but I will be making a big bet on the OVER 5.5 and that I will be on the watch for props offering larger totals.
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