This weekend, we’ve got an 11-fight card at Greenville, South Carolina. DraftKings has some adequate contests for us to win a lot of cash from this week. The main GPP is a $15 buy and $25k belongs to 1st place with a total of $120k being paid out. In addition they have a Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first place cost and $175k will be distributed between all 100 entries that qualify. I will try to receive my 3rd seat this week to maximum it if I could. Those Qualifier only contests can be actual bankroll suckers, so be cautious chasing those overly hard. I’ll probably stick to the very best GPP this week and throw a handful of entries at the $30k decoration, and then I will probably have a couple shots in the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs throughout the week to receive a fantastic quantity of drama into cash games.
With that said, let’s get into a couple plays I enjoy this week along with my fade of this week:
Money Game play of the week — Main Event STACK — Renato Moicano and Chan Sung Jung
For me personally, this is a simple stack in money week. I believe we readily have a floor of 100 with Renato Moicano and The Korean Zombie with upside of ~150. It also assures us the winner. As I have mentioned several times previously, we don’t need 6 wins in money games, so play those kind of games all you’ve got to do is beat half the area. Normally 4 wins or 400+ points is good enough to money in the majority of cash games. Even if you’ve got a strong lean on this fight I still recommend stacking.
GPP play of the week — Jairzinho Rozenstruik — $9,000
Rozenstruik has the greatest ITD line on the card at -140 and he can easily hit 100+ DK points from obtaining that in around 1. The worry here would be him being on his back in around 1 and then scoring zero points through that and then going out and getting a KO in round two. Or no KO at all. Both of these would take him away the perfect lineup so we need this fight to stay standing and ideally an early KO. I believe that is extremely possible and he’ll be a core GPP drama of mine this week. He is not the best cash game play though because he can be put on his back and be stuck there and perhaps even lose the battle like that. I’m OK with him in cash, but I will not be making a priority like I will being obese in GPPs.
Play of this week — Anderson Dos Santos — $7,900
This gambling line is about pickem’ with a slight lean towards Dos Santos. However, Ewell is the favorite on DraftKings and is $400 more than ADS. Ewell is likewise the striker so that he to score highly he is likely going to need a complete finish. His weakness is Anderson Dos Santos’ strength though. Ewell has difficulty staying off his spine and when ADS can put him he could submit him. Or he could rack up multiple takedowns for a high decision score. I like the value we are getting on him $7.9k and that I like he should be seeking to grapple in this fight. That’s why I needed to select him as my dog of this week.
Fade of this week — Syuri Kondo $8,000
There are no real easy fades this week. I do have a full fade on Kondo however because she looks to be purely a striker and I believe Ashely Yoder’s best path to victory is by way of grappling. If Kondo is not at a striking match for 15-minutes I don’t see the way she scores highly unless she gets a finish. I don’t believe she has KO power, therefore I believe it is purely the substantial strikes and the win bonus which we’d be relying here. I would rather take a fighter with more of a chance to finish or who is more inclined to grapple. That is exactly why Kondo is my fade of the week.
Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every fight on the card and provide my full DraftKings evaluation, as well as all my pick predictions, then you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are offered at that link as well. I am 81-51 for +251.89un (+$25,189) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
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