The $1.5-million Preakness Stakes (G1) is coming up on Saturday and for the first time since 1996, it will be overlooking the Kentucky Derby (G1) winner.
Country House has developed a cough and will miss the next jewel of the Triple Crown. Maximum Security, who crossed the wire first but was disqualified for interference, will likewise not head to Baltimore.
Toss in Code of Honor and Tacitus, who have been placed third and second following the disqualification, and we’re missing the first four which crossed the wire in the Run for the Roses.
We are going to have a big area, and there still will be lots of cash to be produced. So let’s look for a few betting angles Which May help us narrow down the winner of the second jewel of the Triple Crown:
Preakness Stakes Facts & Betting Trends The betting favorite in the Preakness has won 14 of the previous 33 variations and has run next nine times. The second alternative in the betting has won nine times with four running moment.
In the last 11 years, we have seen five post-time favorites win, for example last year with Justify, who returned $2.80.
The Kentucky Derby winner has come back and won the Preakness 11 occasions in the previous 22 editions, including last year with Justify and in 2015 with American Pharoah, who both went on to sweep the Triple Crown.
Over the past 33 years, the Preakness favorite has landed at the money 25 days and in the top four 29 times.
Since 2001, 14 of the 18 Preakness winners have paid $8.80 or less. Five of the winners went off at less or EVEN cash. The biggest cost in that time period was Oxbow, that returned 32.80 in 2013.
We’ve seen four of the top 11 payoffs in Preakness history in the previous 13 years — Oxbow ($32.80 in 2013), Cloud Computing ($28.80 at 2017), Bernardini ($27.80 in 2006) and Shackleford ($27.20 at 2011).
While the Kentucky Derby has had three winners pay $100+ in the last 14 years, the top payoff in Preakness history is Master Derby, who returned $48.80 in 1975.
The betting favorite has won 73 of those 143 editions of the Preakness.
While favorites have run well, the runner-up from the Preakness can occasionally be a long shot — Bravazo last year in +1500, Cherry Wine in 2016 in +1700, Tale of Verve at 2015 at +2800, First Dude at +2300 at 2010,” Macho Again at +3900 in 2008, Scrappy T at +1300 at 2005, Midway Road in +2300 at 2003 and Magic Weisner in +4500 at 2002.
Back in 2002, War Emblem and Magic Weisner combined for a record $327 exacta. The 2013 exacta with Oxbow and Itsmyluckyday returned $301. Last year Justify topped a $2 exacta with Bravazo that paid $27.40.
Together with Justify’s win last year, coach Bob Baffert matched the all time high in Preakness wins to get a coach at seven together with R. Wyndham Walden, who won his last Preakness in 1888.
Since 1997, 11 of 22 Derby winners came back to win the Preakness. Only American Pharoah (2015) and Justify (2018) went on to complete the Triple Crown.
Since 1983, just four Preakness winners failed to compete in the Kentucky Derby, the most recent being Cloud Computing in 2017, who paid $28.80 to triumph.
Exaggerator at 2016 became the first Kentucky Derby runner-up to win the Preakness because Prairie Bayou at 2003.
Over the past 42 years, the best post places from the Preakness are the eight article with eight winners, the seven article with six winners along with the 3 post with six winners. Since 1986, we’ve seen only four winners that have broken out of the 10 post and outward.
The greatest margin of victory in the Preakness belongs to Smarty Jones in 2004, winning by 111/2 lengths. American Pharoah won by seven lengths in 2015, tied for sixth in biggest margin of success, and fellow Triple Crown winner Justify won a season’s race by 11/2 lengths.
Over the previous twenty decades, an average of five Derby starters have returned in the Preakness. In two of the past five years, only three returned. The best way to reunite over the past two decades has been 10 in 1999 and 2005. Those Derbies were obtained by extended shots Charismatic ($64.60) and Giacomo ($102.60). Last year Justify confronted three fellow Derby alums.
Handicapper Michael Dempsey will soon be covering the Triple Crown for OddsShark and his entire card reports with choices, analysis, fair odds line and wagering recommendations for important buys are available each day at turfnsport.com.
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